Is STKL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, STKL is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: STKL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of STKL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for STKL to be between $3.78 and $4.71. The current price is $4.58.

What is the analyst price target for STKL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for STKL is $7.90. This implies a potential upside of 72.5% from current levels.

STKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STKL - SunOpta, Inc.

BEVERAGES

$4.58

0.00 (0.00%) ▲

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STKL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.94

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.93

7.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STKL is currently trading at $4.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.78 to $4.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STKL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.43, while resistance sits at $5.01.

Market Sentiment: STKL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.90 (+72.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Fair Price Range $3.78 - $4.71

Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 81.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 72.5% below Wall St target ($7.90)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.78 - $4.71

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.27 (5.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.43

Resistance Level $5.01

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.02

Wall Street Target $7.90 (+72.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 89.1%

Profit Margin 0.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium

PE vs Historical 22.0 vs 19.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $4.76 (+4%)

2-Year Target $4.94 (+8%)

3-Year Target $5.14 (+12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $4.57 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.6%) $10.58 (+131%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 31.6%) $10.45 (+128%)

Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 31.6%) $8.88 (+94%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 48.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.10

Bull Case $5.53 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.5

Base Case $4.58 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.1

Bear Case $3.50 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM

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Advanced STKL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STKL price and gamma walls.

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