SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$9.55
0.30 (3.24%)
▲
5d:
+1.17%
30d:
-5.16%
90d:
+0.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.72
42.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $9.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.18 to $10.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.33, while resistance sits at $10.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.07 (+36.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.33, while resistance sits at $10.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.07 (+36.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.18 -
$10.65
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.9% below Wall St target ($13.07)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.18 -
$10.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.33
Resistance Level
$10.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$13.07
(+36.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$10.08
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 102.1%)
$98.71
(+934%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 102.1%)
$32.23
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 102.1%)
$27.40
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$13.83
(+44.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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