SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$7.50
-0.39 (-4.94%)
▼
5d:
-5.9%
30d:
-24.24%
90d:
-28.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUPV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUPV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.22
58.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $7.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.07 to $9.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.84 (+71.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.84 (+71.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.07 -
$9.67
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 71.2% below Wall St target ($12.84)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.07 -
$9.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.44
Resistance Level
$8.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.62
Wall Street Target
$12.84
(+71.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→11)
$10.99
(+47%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 27.6%)
$61.21
(+716%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 27.6%)
$15.60
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 27.6%)
$13.26
(+77%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$15.07
(+100.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+100.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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