Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.64
19.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SVM is currently trading at $13.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.15 to $12.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.31, while resistance sits at $14.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SVM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.15 -
$12.66
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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Silvercorp Metals Inc is a mineral exploration company, engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties. The company's producing mines are located in China, and exploration and development projects are located in China and Ecuador. Its project portfolio comprises the El Domo copper-gold and the Condor gold project in Ecuador. In addition, it operates several silver-lead-zinc mines at the Ying Mining District in Henan Province, China, and the GC silver-lead-zinc mine in Guangdong Province, China. A majority of the company's revenue is generated through the sale of silver concentrates. Its reportable operating segments are the Ying Mining District and GC Mine in China, which derive maximum revenue, and the El Domo and Condor projects in Ecuador.