SVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$10.36
-0.17 (-1.61%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.83
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.21
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $10.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.53 to $10.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+39.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+39.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$9.53 -
$10.52
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($14.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.53 -
$10.52
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.86
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.13
Resistance Level
$10.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.93
Wall Street Target
$14.65
(+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.99
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$11.48
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$11.98
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$18.39
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$16.44
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$13.97
(+33%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Medway
SELL
20000 shares
2025-09-26
Melinda L Geisser
SELL
20000 shares
2025-09-26
Mark T Walsh
SELL
34184 shares
2025-09-24
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Advanced SVV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SVV price and gamma walls.
