SVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$7.50
0.11 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
-15.54%
90d:
-19.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SVV is down 8.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-05-15 with 8 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SVV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 100% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SVV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 100% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.82
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.07
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $7.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.60 to $9.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.91, while resistance sits at $8.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.75 (+99.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.91, while resistance sits at $8.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.75 (+99.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.60 -
$9.40
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 99.6% below Wall St target ($14.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.60 -
$9.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.91
Resistance Level
$8.21
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$14.75
(+99.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.00
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$7.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$23.30
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$12.93
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 20.5%)
$10.99
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.56
Bull Case
$9.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$7.79
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$5.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.07
(+36.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jubran N Tanious
SELL
57706 shares
2025-12-18
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