SWK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWK - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
$68.39
-2.78 (-3.91%)
▼
5d:
-3.42%
30d:
-14.28%
90d:
-7.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
SWK is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $75 2026-06-18 with 362 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.9/10
Get Alerted When SWK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.32
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.51
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWK is currently trading at $68.39, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.39 to $81.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SWK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.72 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SWK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.72 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$68.39 -
$81.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($90.72)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$68.39 -
$81.94
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.54
Resistance Level
$73.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$90.73
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.3%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.75
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$64.50
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$61.41
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$71.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.3%)
$234.93
(+230%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 18.3%)
$117.81
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 18.3%)
$100.14
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$148.02
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$134.56
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$45.75
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$82.55
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Gary C. Peters
BUY
2026-01-12
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-10-27
Top Rated Tools & Accessories Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tools & Accessories by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TKR
Timken Company |
BUY
12 analysts |
$110 | 60 HOLD |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holding… |
BUY
10 analysts |
$305 | 54 HOLD |
|
SNA
Snap-On Inc |
HOLD
11 analysts |
$376 | 67 BUY |
|
HLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp |
BUY
8 analysts |
$12 | 55 HOLD |
|
RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated |
BUY
7 analysts |
$609 | 63 BUY |
Advanced SWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWK price and gamma walls.
