LECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
$260.92
-5.45 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-3.76%
30d:
+3.34%
90d:
-11.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$388.83
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$241.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LECO is currently trading at $260.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $257.33 to $267.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $259.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $294.11 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $259.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $294.11 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$257.33 -
$267.95
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($294.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$257.33 -
$267.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$259.84
Resistance Level
$277.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.64
Wall Street Target
$294.11
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 22.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$256.22
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$251.61
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$247.08
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$260.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$358.05
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 10.4%)
$351.00
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$298.35
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.68
Bull Case
$363.52
(+39%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$330.47
(+27%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$180.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$274.96
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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