LECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
$258.43
0.46 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-5.59%
30d:
+1.63%
90d:
+3.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$384.08
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LECO is currently trading at $258.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $257.40 to $270.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $247.92, while resistance sits at $269.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $247.92, while resistance sits at $269.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$257.40 -
$270.14
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($296.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$257.40 -
$270.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.92
Resistance Level
$269.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.45
Wall Street Target
$296.70
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$254.04
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$249.72
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$245.47
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$258.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$351.86
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.5, Growth: 10.3%)
$346.61
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 10.3%)
$294.62
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.68
Bull Case
$353.11
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$321.00
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$175.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$272.22
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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