Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: SYY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.53
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.25
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SYY is currently trading at $83.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.79 to $79.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SYY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SYY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$72.79 -
$79.91
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
SYY is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
Sysco is the largest US foodservice distributor with 17% share of the highly fragmented $370 billion domestic market. It distributes roughly 500,000 food and nonfood products to restaurants (60% of fiscal 2025 revenue), education and government buildings (8%), healthcare facilities (8%), travel and leisure (7%), and other locations (17%) where individuals consume away-from-home meals. In fiscal 2025, 70% of the firm's revenue was derived from its US foodservice operations, while its international (18%), quick-service logistics (10%), and other (2%) segments contributed the rest.