TARS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TARS - Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$65.44
4.55 (7.47%) ▲
5d: +1.71%
30d: +13.99%
90d: -6.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TARS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TARS is currently trading at $65.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.37 to $63.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (36.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TARS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $56.51, while resistance sits at $69.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: TARS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.11 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $59.37 - $63.96
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($94.11)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $59.37 - $63.96
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $56.51
Resistance Level $69.48
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.83
Wall Street Target $94.11 (+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 106.9%
Profit Margin -9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.8 vs 36.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.90 (-10%)
2-Year Target $53.01 (-19%)
3-Year Target $47.71 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→36) $75.65 (+16%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 36.2
Stabilization Target: $103.77 (+58.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +58.6%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bryan Wahl SELL 4231 shares 2026-03-19
Dianne C Whitfield SELL 4174 shares 2026-03-19
Elizabeth Yeu Lin SELL 390 shares 2026-03-19

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Advanced TARS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TARS price and gamma walls.

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