TCPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TCPC - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Common Stock
$5.18
-0.05 (-0.96%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When TCPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called TCPC this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TCPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TCPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.78
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TCPC is currently trading at $5.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.34 to $5.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.88, while resistance sits at $5.94.
Market Sentiment: TCPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.88, while resistance sits at $5.94.
Market Sentiment: TCPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.34 -
$5.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TCPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($6.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.34 -
$5.75
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.88
Resistance Level
$5.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.86
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 6.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.95
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.82
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$5.26
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -29.2%)
$14.51
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: -29.2%)
$3.81
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: -29.2%)
$3.24
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.71
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1334 | 59 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$40 | 63 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 66 BUY |
|
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty L… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$24 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced TCPC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TCPC price and gamma walls.
