TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$34.56
0.10 (0.29%)
▲
5d:
+10.88%
30d:
-5.34%
90d:
+36.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.53
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $34.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.61 to $34.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.36, while resistance sits at $36.86.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.36, while resistance sits at $36.86.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.61 -
$34.89
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.61 -
$34.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.36
Resistance Level
$36.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.04
Wall Street Target
$34.88
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
671.1%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$36.74
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$37.87
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$79.38
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$43.89
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$37.30
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
Bull Case
$24.89
(-28%)
Analyst growth -34.3%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$22.63
(-35%)
Market implied -34.3%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$23.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gianoni
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-24
Lake Lp Lynrock
SELL
61990 shares
2026-02-11
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