TDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.
$42.35
0.42 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.58%
30d:
-5.36%
90d:
+5.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TDS is down 5.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-05-15 with 702 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.00
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $42.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.52 to $44.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 182.3) compared to its historical average (120.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.33 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.33 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$42.52 -
$44.98
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($52.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.8% growth with 12.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.52 -
$44.98
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.34
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.58
Resistance Level
$43.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
182.30
Wall Street Target
$52.33
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.8% premium
PE vs Historical
182.3 vs 120.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.14
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$55.26
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$63.44
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 182→121)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 39.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.10
Bull Case
$51.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$43.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$32.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anita J Kroll
SELL
870 shares
2025-11-11
Anita J Kroll
SELL
16217 shares
2025-11-10
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Advanced TDS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TDS price and gamma walls.
