TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$68.12
1.09 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+3.59%
30d:
-9.06%
90d:
-18.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
Get Alerted When TDW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 531% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 531% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.81
38.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $68.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.01 to $75.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$67.01 -
$75.28
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($86.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.01 -
$75.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.56
Resistance Level
$77.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.88
Wall Street Target
$86.57
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.85
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$56.16
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$51.00
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$67.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 86.1%)
$460.41
(+576%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 86.1%)
$229.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 86.1%)
$195.42
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.93
Bull Case
$77.88
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$70.80
(+4%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$45.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$90.82
(+33.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
Top Rated Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SLB
Schlumberger NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$62 | 55 HOLD |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Co |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$71 | 60 HOLD |
|
HAL
Halliburton Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$44 | 60 BUY |
|
FTI
TechnipFMC PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$76 | 59 HOLD |
|
NOV
NOV Inc. |
BUY
24 analysts |
$22 | 56 HOLD |
