TEAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$118.18
-2.20 (-1.83%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.37
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.70
14.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $118.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.03 to $159.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (31.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 172.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TEAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.08 (+92.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $127.03 - $159.91
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 92.0% below Wall St target ($231.08)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.3%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $127.03 - $159.91
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $115.01
Resistance Level $140.68
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.38
Wall Street Target $231.08 (+92.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 172.2%
Profit Margin -3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.4 vs 31.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $108.34 (-10%)
2-Year Target $97.51 (-19%)
3-Year Target $87.76 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→32) $130.12 (+8%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.5%) $193.48 (+61%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 15.5%) $185.49 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 18.2, Growth: 15.5%) $157.67 (+31%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 31.7
Stabilization Target: $178.49 (+48.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +48.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Farquhar SELL 7665 shares 2025-10-22
Michael Cannon-Brookes SELL 7665 shares 2025-10-22
Michael Cannon-Brookes SELL 7665 shares 2025-10-20

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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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