TEAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$66.45
1.33 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
-10.7%
30d:
-11.55%
90d:
-59.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TEAM is down 10.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $105 2026-05-15 with 3,095 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEAM is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEAM is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.65
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.93
48.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $66.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.67 to $79.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 172.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.30, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.93 (+159.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.30, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.93 (+159.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$69.67 -
$79.26
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 159.4% below Wall St target ($168.93)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.67 -
$79.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.30
Resistance Level
$78.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.78
Wall Street Target
$168.93
(+159.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.2%
Profit Margin
-3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$52.75
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$47.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→23)
$93.93
(+44%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.2%)
$194.14
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$102.07
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$86.76
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$128.84
(+97.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+97.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gene Liu
SELL
66 shares
2026-02-19
Joseph Leo Binz
SELL
1653 shares
2026-02-19
Rajeev Bashyam Rajan
SELL
3072 shares
2026-02-19
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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.
