TEO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEO - Telecom Argentina S.A.
$11.10
-0.06 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-4.31%
30d:
-4.97%
90d:
-2.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.3% annual earnings decline despite 25% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.3% annual earnings decline despite 25% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.81
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEO is currently trading at $11.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.09 to $11.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.56, while resistance sits at $12.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.56, while resistance sits at $12.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$11.09 -
$11.70
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.09 -
$11.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.03
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.56
Resistance Level
$12.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.81
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.14
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$12.54
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -4.8%)
$31.68
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: -4.8%)
$9.64
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -4.8%)
$8.19
(-27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$17.19
(+54.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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