TER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TER - Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock

INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS
$276.35
-19.26 (-6.52%) ▼
5d: -9.07%
30d: -13.65%
90d: +38.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your TER Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026 27d
Smart Money Accumulation

TER is down 9.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $280 2026-06-18 with 398 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$400.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$248.58
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TER is currently trading at $276.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.73 to $322.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.6) compared to its historical average (39.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $274.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $314.18 (+13.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $289.73 - $322.96
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($314.18)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $289.73 - $322.96
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $274.00
Resistance Level $327.42
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.61
Wall Street Target $314.18 (+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 43.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 81.4%
Profit Margin 17.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.6 vs 39.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $262.81 (-5%)
2-Year Target $249.93 (-10%)
3-Year Target $237.68 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→39) $276.55 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.6, Growth: 31.7%) $631.31 (+128%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 31.7%) $419.87 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 31.7%) $356.89 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 48.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.29
Bull Case $366.98 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.7
Base Case $303.92 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.3
Bear Case $232.50 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.6 to 39.1
Stabilization Target: $321.53 (+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-05
Michael T. McCaul BUY 2026-02-04
Gregory Stephen Smith SELL 1108 shares 2025-12-12

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Advanced TER Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TER price and gamma walls.

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