TEVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited American Depositary Shares

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$31.75
-1.16 (-3.52%) β–Ό
5d: -5.98%
30d: -12.41%
90d: +18.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: TEVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.73
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.61
8.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEVA is currently trading at $31.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.88 to $34.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.14 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $32.88 - $34.89
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.14)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.88 - $34.89
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.40
Resistance Level $35.18
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 5, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.61
Wall Street Target $38.14 (+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.0%
Profit Margin 8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 11.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.25 (-2%)
2-Year Target $31.61 (-4%)
3-Year Target $30.97 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’11) $32.98 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.6, Growth: 15.6%) $108.23 (+229%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 15.6%) $50.85 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 15.6%) $43.22 (+31%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case $74.29 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case $67.54 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case $22.96 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.3
Stabilization Target: $35.04 (+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.5%
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Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Amir Weiss SELL 12300 shares 2025-12-16
Roberto Mignone SELL 77400 shares 2025-12-16
Mark Sabag SELL 216892 shares 2025-12-09

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