TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$57.00
-0.68 (-1.18%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.16
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $57.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.35 to $60.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.75 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.75 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$55.35 -
$60.55
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 14.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.35 -
$60.55
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.71
Resistance Level
$62.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.23
Wall Street Target
$64.75
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.83
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$60.01
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$61.21
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.1%)
$192.03
(+233%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 15.1%)
$88.07
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$74.86
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$129.29
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$117.54
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$39.96
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Posner
SELL
5000 shares
2025-08-12
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEX price and gamma walls.
