TFX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFX - Teleflex Incorporated
$130.28
0.24 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-1.06%
30d:
+3.12%
90d:
+24.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
TFX is up 5.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $115 2026-06-18 with 4 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFX is currently trading at $130.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.65 to $133.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $118.52, while resistance sits at $136.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $118.52, while resistance sits at $136.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$120.65 -
$133.88
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($143.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.65 -
$133.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.90
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.52
Resistance Level
$136.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.43
Wall Street Target
$143.67
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.1%
Profit Margin
-47.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.78
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$156.78
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$172.14
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$130.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 55.4%)
$777.99
(+498%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 55.4%)
$438.88
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 55.4%)
$331.81
(+155%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.54
Bull Case
$157.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$130.04
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$99.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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