TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$6.65
-0.12 (-1.77%)
ā¼
5d:
+14.46%
30d:
-18.7%
90d:
+17.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: TGB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
ā BUY SIGNAL: TGB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.52
46.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $6.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.07 to $8.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $6.91.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.63 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $6.91.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.63 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.07 -
$8.01
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.63)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.07 -
$8.01
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.63
Resistance Level
$6.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.21
Wall Street Target
$7.63
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.5%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 9.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.09
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6ā10)
$7.55
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 102.6%)
$82.22
(+1115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 102.6%)
$22.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 102.6%)
$19.42
(+187%)
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Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.36
(+53.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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