TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TGB - Taseko Mines Limited

Gold and Silver Ores
$7.62
-0.98 (-11.40%) ā–¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: TGB trades at premium valuation expecting 9.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.02
5.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $7.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.69 to $7.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.82, while resistance sits at $9.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.91. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $5.69 - $7.58
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.4%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 42.9% above Wall St target ($4.91)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.1% growth with 11.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.69 - $7.58
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.82
Resistance Level $9.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.74
Wall Street Target $4.91 (-42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -45.5%
Profit Margin -9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.1% premium
PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 10.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.38 (+9%)
2-Year Target $10.24 (+19%)
3-Year Target $11.17 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→11) PE COMPRESSION $8.61 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 244.9%) $47.09 (+448%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 244.9%) $29.03 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 244.9%) $22.38 (+160%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:22 AM
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