TH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TH - Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock
$13.88
1.22 (9.64%)
▲
5d:
+43.24%
30d:
+72.42%
90d:
+73.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TH is 33.5% above fair value ($10.40). Market expects -0.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TH is 33.5% above fair value ($10.40). Market expects -0.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $13.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.36 to $10.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.8) is in line with its historical norms (45.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$7.36 -
$10.40
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
TH is technically overbought (RSI 86). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+33.5% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 20.7% above Wall St target ($11.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 33.5% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.36 -
$10.40
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.82
Resistance Level
$13.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.77
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(-20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Profit Margin
-11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.8 vs 45.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.85
(0%)
2-Year Target
$13.82
(0%)
3-Year Target
$13.80
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→45)
$13.87
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.8 to 45.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.95
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heidi Diane Lewis
SELL
9000 shares
2026-01-20
Heidi Diane Lewis
SELL
13456 shares
2025-12-15
Stephen Robertson
BUY
125000 shares
2025-12-03
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Advanced TH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.
