THO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$111.87
-1.05 (-0.93%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.68
26.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $111.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.73 to $114.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$105.73 -
$114.72
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($113.42)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.73 -
$114.72
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.77
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.04
Resistance Level
$119.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.50
Wall Street Target
$113.42
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$104.72
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$100.84
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$112.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.9%)
$324.04
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 35.9%)
$283.29
(+151%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 35.9%)
$240.79
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$134.99
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.7%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$122.72
(+10%)
Market implied 9.7%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$76.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$126.27
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
