THRY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRY - Thryv Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$4.81
0.04 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
-21.15%
90d:
-58.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THRY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: THRY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.25
Based on -10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRY is currently trading at $4.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.94 to $5.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 106.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.46, while resistance sits at $5.45.
Market Sentiment: THRY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+170.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.46, while resistance sits at $5.45.
Market Sentiment: THRY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+170.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.94 -
$5.94
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 170.3% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.94 -
$5.94
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.35
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.46
Resistance Level
$5.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.87
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+170.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.53
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.26
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$4.01
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$4.85
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -24.8%)
$13.33
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: -24.8%)
$3.51
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: -24.8%)
$2.98
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$8.32
(+73%)
Analyst growth 64.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$7.56
(+57%)
Market implied 64.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$3.13
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$5.82
(+21.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Slater
BUY
1000 shares
2025-08-29
John Slater
BUY
1000 shares
2025-08-25
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