THRY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRY - Thryv Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$2.55
0.06 (2.41%)
▲
5d:
-14.14%
30d:
+9.91%
90d:
-58.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
THRY is down 12.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-05-15 with 221 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRY is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRY is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.24
72.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRY is currently trading at $2.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.50 to $3.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.7) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 106.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.45, while resistance sits at $3.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.75 (+86.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.45, while resistance sits at $3.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.75 (+86.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$2.50 -
$3.42
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 86.3% below Wall St target ($4.75)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.50 -
$3.42
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.46
(18.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.45
Resistance Level
$3.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.73
Wall Street Target
$4.75
(+86.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→5)
$5.57
(+119%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 131.5%)
$110.88
(+4248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: 131.5%)
$8.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.5, Growth: 131.5%)
$7.32
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.13
Bull Case
$3.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$2.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$2.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$7.64
(+199.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+199.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Joe Walsh
BUY
15000 shares
2026-03-13
John Slater
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-04
Paul D Rouse
BUY
6000 shares
2026-03-03
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