TIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TIC - Acuren Corporation

Services-Business Services, NEC
$10.10
-0.28 (-2.70%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 26, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: TIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.87
14.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TIC is currently trading at $10.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.21 to $11.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TIC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.25 (+41.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $10.21 - $11.22
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($14.25)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.21 - $11.22
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.89
Resistance Level $11.70
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.72
Wall Street Target $14.25 (+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.4%
Profit Margin -4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.7 vs 30.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.54 (-6%)
2-Year Target $9.02 (-11%)
3-Year Target $8.52 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26β†’31) $10.11 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.7, Growth: 55.8%) $34.09 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 55.8%) $29.56 (+193%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 55.8%) $25.12 (+149%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 30.5
Stabilization Target: $11.98 (+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 PM
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