TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$25.47
-0.05 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
-7.31%
90d:
+25.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TIMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TIMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.27
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $25.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.21 to $26.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.45, while resistance sits at $26.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.45, while resistance sits at $26.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$25.21 -
$26.73
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.21 -
$26.73
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.11
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.45
Resistance Level
$26.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.13
Wall Street Target
$25.86
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.1%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.81
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$24.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$25.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.2%)
$50.49
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 5.2%)
$29.66
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 5.2%)
$25.21
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case
$30.90
(+20%)
Analyst growth 14.1%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$28.09
(+9%)
Market implied 14.1%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$16.74
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$26.57
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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