TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$23.30
-0.78 (-3.24%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TIMB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TIMB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.35
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $23.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.86 to $23.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $21.09, while resistance sits at $24.40. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $21.09, while resistance sits at $24.40. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.86 -
$23.00
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.86 -
$23.00
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.08
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.09
Resistance Level
$24.40
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.55
Wall Street Target
$23.23
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.3%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.70
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$24.10
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$24.51
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.1%)
$55.39
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$33.67
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.1%)
$28.62
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$28.55
(+23%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$25.96
(+11%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$16.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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