TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$6.66
-0.03 (-0.45%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TKC is 7.8% above fair value ($6.18). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TKC is 7.8% above fair value ($6.18). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $6.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.55 to $6.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 0.2) compared to its historical average (0.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.42 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.42 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$5.55 -
$6.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
TKC is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.8% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with 11.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.55 -
$6.18
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.94
Resistance Level
$6.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.16
Wall Street Target
$7.42
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
0.2 vs 0.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$7.10
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$7.31
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.56
(-32%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 76.9%)
$3140.70
(+46846%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.2, Growth: 76.9%)
$22.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 76.9%)
$14.08
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$14.54
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$13.22
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$4.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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