TLK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLK - PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
$21.12
0.27 (1.29%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TLK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TLK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.46
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLK is currently trading at $21.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.85 to $22.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.10 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.10 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$20.85 -
$22.21
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.10)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.85 -
$22.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.50
Resistance Level
$23.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.58
Wall Street Target
$24.10
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.54
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$19.93
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$20.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$50.75
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$30.90
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 14.0%)
$26.26
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$26.45
(+25%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$24.04
(+14%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$13.95
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$21.81
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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