TPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$58.91
0.05 (0.08%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.26
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $58.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.99 to $67.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.62 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.62 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$61.99 -
$67.24
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.62)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$61.99 -
$67.24
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.17
Resistance Level
$68.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.44
Wall Street Target
$65.62
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$56.18
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$54.89
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$58.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 114.9%)
$216.76
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 114.9%)
$198.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 114.9%)
$168.85
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.96 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.81
Bull Case
$71.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$58.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$45.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$63.07
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TPG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPG price and gamma walls.
