TRIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIN - Trinity Capital Inc. Common Stock
$16.43
0.08 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
-2.03%
30d:
+9.17%
90d:
+8.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.68
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIN is currently trading at $16.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.31 to $16.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$15.31 -
$16.64
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 22.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.31 -
$16.64
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.12
Resistance Level
$17.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$16.70
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Profit Margin
52.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$17.38
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.35
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.7%)
$47.00
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 31.7%)
$16.59
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 31.7%)
$14.10
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$16.99
(+3%)
Analyst growth -5.5%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$15.45
(-6%)
Market implied -5.5%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$11.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 04, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ronald E Estes
BUY
1000 shares
2025-09-12
Ronald E Estes
BUY
2000 shares
2025-09-11
Ronald E Estes
BUY
1000 shares
2025-09-10
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