TRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRX - TRX Gold Corporation
$1.63
-0.55 (-25.23%)
▼
SELL
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 09, 2026
Get Alerted When TRX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
6 traders called TRX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⚠️ CAUTION: TRX is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
⚠️ CAUTION: TRX is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.36
51.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRX is currently trading at $1.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.76 to $1.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 254.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.92, while resistance sits at $2.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.57. Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.92, while resistance sits at $2.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.57. Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$0.76 -
$1.42
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
33.3%
Protect Your Profits
Before you sell your TRX shares, consider hedging with options to lock in your gains without triggering a tax event.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.8% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-25.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 27.8% above Wall St target ($1.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$0.76 -
$1.42
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.92
Resistance Level
$2.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.90
Wall Street Target
$1.58
(-27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
254.9%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.01
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$1.85
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$1.71
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$2.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 175.9%)
$15.05
(+591%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 175.9%)
$7.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 175.9%)
$6.25
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$2.78
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TRX showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$210 | 60 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$138 | 63 BUY |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$45 | 56 HOLD |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$120 | 56 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$32 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced TRX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRX price and gamma walls.
