TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$62.10
0.32 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
+5.95%
90d:
+25.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.51
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $62.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.62 to $63.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.74, while resistance sits at $63.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.74, while resistance sits at $63.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.62 -
$63.33
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.62 -
$63.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.74
Resistance Level
$63.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.93
Wall Street Target
$60.47
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.38
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$65.02
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$66.71
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.8%)
$95.79
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 3.8%)
$69.12
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 3.8%)
$58.75
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$69.68
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.1%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$63.35
(+3%)
Market implied 2.1%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$42.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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