TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$21.95
-0.19 (-0.86%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
Get Alerted When TSLX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.28
Based on -2.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.97
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $21.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.57 to $22.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$21.57 -
$22.25
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.57 -
$22.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.10
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.73
Resistance Level
$22.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
41.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.50
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$22.68
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -8.2%)
$34.43
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -8.2%)
$17.14
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -8.2%)
$14.57
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$23.68
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.7%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$21.53
(-2%)
Market implied -2.7%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$15.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1334 | 59 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$40 | 63 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 66 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$178 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced TSLX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSLX price and gamma walls.
