TU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TU - Telus Corporation
$12.87
0.13 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
-6.33%
90d:
-0.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.37
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TU is currently trading at $12.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.07 to $13.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TU is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TU is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.07 -
$13.69
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($17.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.07 -
$13.69
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.68
Resistance Level
$13.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.75
Wall Street Target
$17.33
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.54
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.14
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$12.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.4%)
$23.59
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$17.63
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$14.99
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$21.13
(+60%)
Analyst growth 46.4%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$19.21
(+46%)
Market implied 46.4%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$8.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.39
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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