TXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXN - Texas Instruments Incorporated
$215.55
-3.42 (-1.56%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
Get Alerted When TXN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
3 traders called TXN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TXN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TXN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$335.80
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$208.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXN is currently trading at $215.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.23 to $201.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.5) is in line with its historical norms (29.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$177.23 -
$201.56
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
TXN is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.9% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($210.16)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$177.23 -
$201.56
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.95
Resistance Level
$222.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.49
Wall Street Target
$210.16
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Profit Margin
28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 29.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$215.05
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$213.11
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$219.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.5, Growth: 19.9%)
$377.75
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.9%)
$295.72
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$251.36
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.45
Bull Case
$335.39
(+56%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 43.6
Base Case
$304.90
(+42%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 39.7
Bear Case
$147.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.5 to 29.3
Stabilization Target:
$225.23
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2025-09-24
Ahmad Bahai
SELL
1500 shares
2025-08-25
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$253 | 65 BUY |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
42 analysts |
$456 | 57 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$354 | 57 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$265 | 58 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$117 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced TXN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXN price and gamma walls.
