UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$37.15
0.24 (0.65%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.44
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $37.15, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.34 to $37.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 67.5) is in line with its historical norms (65.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$36.34 -
$37.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.34 -
$37.33
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.24
Resistance Level
$38.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.55
Wall Street Target
$40.36
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
97.6%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
67.6 vs 65.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.60
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.05
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$38.50
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68→65)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.5, Growth: -7.8%)
$29.08
(+-22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.8%)
$9.60
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -7.8%)
$8.16
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 56.82 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.65
Bull Case
$44.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 59.7
Base Case
$37.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 56.8
Bear Case
$28.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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BUY
2025-09-29
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SELL
2025-09-25
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SELL
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