UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$34.54
0.29 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
+1.36%
30d:
-8.52%
90d:
-5.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
UDR is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-04-17 with 28 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.97
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $34.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.32 to $37.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 70.0) is in line with its historical norms (66.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.95 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.95 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$34.32 -
$37.38
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.32 -
$37.38
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.48
Resistance Level
$35.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.02
Wall Street Target
$40.95
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
97.6%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
70.0 vs 66.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$35.48
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$36.12
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.0, Growth: 14.5%)
$51.39
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$16.40
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.5%)
$13.94
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.13
Bull Case
$18.76
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$17.05
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$23.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
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