ULH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$20.48
0.49 (2.45%)
▲
5d:
+3.23%
30d:
+23.15%
90d:
+30.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ULH is 7.1% above fair value ($19.13). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ULH is 7.1% above fair value ($19.13). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.08
29.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $20.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.99 to $19.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.77, while resistance sits at $21.89.
Market Sentiment: ULH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $17.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.77, while resistance sits at $21.89.
Market Sentiment: ULH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $17.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$14.99 -
$19.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.0% above Wall St target ($17.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.99 -
$19.13
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.77
Resistance Level
$21.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.73
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(-17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.42
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$18.41
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$17.45
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$20.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.3%)
$78.62
(+284%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 36.3%)
$51.83
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 36.3%)
$44.05
(+115%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$24.05
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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