UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$14.49
0.08 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+1.58%
30d:
-4.64%
90d:
-9.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
29d
Get Alerted When UMH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $14.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.30 to $15.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 127.1) compared to its historical average (99.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.36 (+34.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.36 (+34.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$14.30 -
$15.53
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($19.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with 8.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.30 -
$15.53
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.61
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.93
Resistance Level
$14.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
127.10
Wall Street Target
$19.36
(+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
127.1 vs 99.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.64
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$16.98
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$18.44
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 127→99)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 127.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$17.58
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$3.09
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$2.63
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 94.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.15
Bull Case
$17.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 99.1
Base Case
$14.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 94.3
Bear Case
$10.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 84.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey A Carus
BUY
66 shares
2025-12-15
William Edward Mitchell
BUY
2000 shares
2025-11-24
William Edward Mitchell
SELL
2000 shares
2025-11-10
Top Rated REIT - Residential Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Residential by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Co… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$145 | 61 BUY |
|
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent |
BUY
23 analysts |
$34 | 65 BUY |
|
EQR
Equity Residential |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$70 | 60 BUY |
|
INVH
Invitation Homes Inc |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$31 | 62 BUY |
|
ESS
Essex Property Trust Inc |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$279 | 57 HOLD |