UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.63
0.04 (0.26%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When UMH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.72 to $16.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 90.0) is in line with its historical norms (89.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.72 -
$16.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($18.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 10.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.72 -
$16.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.71
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.20
Resistance Level
$16.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
90.03
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
90.0 vs 89.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.66
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$15.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$15.72
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 90→90)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 90.0, Growth: 44.7%)
$47.32
(+203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 44.7%)
$11.72
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 44.7%)
$9.96
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (98x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (90x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 98.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.16
Bull Case
$18.87
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 102.9
Base Case
$15.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 98.0
Bear Case
$11.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 88.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Todd J Clark
BUY
72 shares
2025-10-15
Jeffrey A Carus
BUY
144 shares
2025-10-15
Samuel A Landy
SELL
20000 shares
2025-10-07
Top Rated REIT - Residential Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Residential by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Co… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$147 | 61 BUY |
|
EQR
Equity Residential |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$70 | 66 BUY |
|
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent |
BUY
23 analysts |
$37 | 58 HOLD |
|
INVH
Invitation Homes Inc |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$33 | 59 HOLD |
|
ESS
Essex Property Trust Inc |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$282 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced UMH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UMH price and gamma walls.