USAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USAC - USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP
$26.36
0.26 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
-7.44%
90d:
-4.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.45
25.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAC is currently trading at $26.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.76 to $28.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.76 -
$28.14
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.76 -
$28.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.36
Resistance Level
$29.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.74
Wall Street Target
$29.67
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.8%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.60
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$23.76
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$26.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.3%)
$96.43
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 35.3%)
$65.28
(+148%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 35.3%)
$55.49
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$52.38
(+99%)
Analyst growth 82.4%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$47.62
(+81%)
Market implied 82.4%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$17.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$29.32
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 1:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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