USLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USLM - United States Lime & Minerals
$123.38
2.85 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
+3.04%
90d:
+0.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.23
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USLM is currently trading at $123.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.09 to $130.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$123.09 -
$130.12
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($125.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$123.09 -
$130.12
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.51
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.07
Resistance Level
$134.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.90
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.96
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$117.42
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$115.89
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$120.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$141.32
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.4%)
$126.55
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 5.4%)
$107.56
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.55
Bull Case
$138.86
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$126.23
(+5%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$80.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$125.36
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy W Byrne
SELL
12100 shares
2025-09-04
Timothy W Byrne
SELL
27425 shares
2025-09-03
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