V Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

V - VISA Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$321.83
-9.97 (-3.00%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: V shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$539.19
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$334.79
3.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: V is currently trading at $321.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $327.11 to $353.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, V is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $321.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: V has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $398.01 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $327.11 - $353.27
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($398.01)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $327.11 - $353.27
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $321.56
Resistance Level $333.36
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.98
Wall Street Target $398.01 (+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -1.4%
Profit Margin 50.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 25.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $321.85 (-3%)
2-Year Target $312.19 (-6%)
3-Year Target $302.82 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23β†’25) $332.10 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 12.8%) $476.12 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.8%) $462.06 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.8%) $392.75 (+18%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.21
Bull Case $506.42 (+53%)
Analyst growth 41.5%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case $460.38 (+39%)
Market implied 41.5%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case $221.18 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 25.2
Stabilization Target: $363.87 (+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ryan Mcinerney SELL 10485 shares 2025-10-01
Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-08-21

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