VEON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VEON - VEON Ltd. ADS

Radiotelephone Communications
$44.80
-1.67 (-3.59%) ▼
5d: -8.55%
30d: -19.84%
90d: -14.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VEON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.41
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.13
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VEON is currently trading at $44.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.14 to $55.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 750.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VEON is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: VEON has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.68 (+49.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $48.14 - $55.37
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.9% below Wall St target ($69.68)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.6%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $48.14 - $55.37
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.68 (8.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.00
Resistance Level $51.52
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.33
Wall Street Target $69.68 (+49.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 750.0%
Profit Margin 15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 7.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.47 (-4%)
2-Year Target $42.56 (-8%)
3-Year Target $40.73 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $46.32 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.1%) $174.92 (+276%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 2.1%) $49.44 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 5.4, Growth: 2.1%) $42.02 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.56
Bull Case $28.82 (-41%)
Analyst growth -45.9%, PE expands to 3.9
Base Case $26.20 (-47%)
Market implied -45.9%, PE stable at 3.6
Bear Case $32.92 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.2
Stabilization Target: $52.85 (+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.7%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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