VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$18.55
-0.15 (-0.80%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VERX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VERX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.77
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.73
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $18.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.12 to $20.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.36 (+46.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.36 (+46.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.12 -
$20.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VERX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.3% below Wall St target ($27.36)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.12 -
$20.12
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.13
Resistance Level
$19.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.05
Wall Street Target
$27.36
(+46.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
-7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$17.33
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$18.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 18.7%)
$31.31
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.7%)
$27.87
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.7%)
$23.69
(+27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 27.0
Stabilization Target:
$20.15
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
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Advanced VERX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
