VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$13.74
-0.06 (-0.43%) ▼
5d: -3.78%
30d: -1.58%
90d: -11.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $13.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.97 to $14.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $13.97 - $14.71
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.7% above Wall St target ($12.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.97 - $14.71
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.60
Resistance Level $15.27
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.96
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.1%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.0 vs 4.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.70 (0%)
2-Year Target $13.66 (-1%)
3-Year Target $13.62 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) $13.76 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.0
Stabilization Target: $13.88 (+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.0%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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