VIRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRT - Virtu Financial, Inc. Class A
$41.51
0.85 (2.09%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VIRT is 10.3% above fair value ($37.65). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VIRT is 10.3% above fair value ($37.65). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.56
Based on -4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRT is currently trading at $41.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.91 to $37.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $42.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $42.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$32.91 -
$37.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Protect Your Profits
VIRT is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.43)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.91 -
$37.65
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.98
Resistance Level
$42.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.01
Wall Street Target
$42.43
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 7.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.77
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$45.00
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$47.34
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.46
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -12.7%)
$73.37
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: -12.7%)
$29.64
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -12.7%)
$25.19
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.61
Bull Case
$40.38
(-3%)
Analyst growth -2.1%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$36.71
(-12%)
Market implied -2.1%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$25.49
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Fairclough
SELL
90701 shares
2025-08-07
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Advanced VIRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIRT price and gamma walls.
