VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$15.25
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.49%
30d:
-9.82%
90d:
+28.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.38
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $15.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.40 to $16.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.6) is in line with its historical norms (2.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.40 -
$16.31
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.40 -
$16.31
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.87
(5.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.07
Resistance Level
$16.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.57
Wall Street Target
$15.29
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 2.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.59
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$14.27
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$15.52
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$186.87
(+1125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 12.1%)
$21.48
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$18.26
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$33.42
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$30.38
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$10.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.6 to 2.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.59
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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