VLTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VLTO - Veralto Corporation

INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS
$87.55
-0.51 (-0.58%) ▼
5d: +1.34%
30d: -7.55%
90d: -12.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VLTO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.74
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.52
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VLTO is currently trading at $87.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.71 to $94.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VLTO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.12 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $87.71 - $94.95
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($110.12)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $87.71 - $94.95
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $84.99
Resistance Level $90.15
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.34
Wall Street Target $110.12 (+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Profit Margin 17.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.3 vs 22.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $84.01 (-5%)
2-Year Target $80.14 (-9%)
3-Year Target $76.46 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→22) $88.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.6%) $130.31 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 8.6%) $112.76 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 16.4, Growth: 8.6%) $95.84 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case $118.07 (+33%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case $107.33 (+21%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case $60.27 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 22.3
Stabilization Target: $101.54 (+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.3%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 1:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-01-28

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