ZWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZWS - Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
$49.67
0.84 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
+4.81%
90d:
-3.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ZWS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ZWS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.39
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZWS is currently trading at $49.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.53 to $51.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.22 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.22 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.53 -
$51.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.53 -
$51.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.77
Resistance Level
$52.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.85
Wall Street Target
$56.22
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 27.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.83
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$48.00
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$47.18
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$49.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$65.03
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$55.45
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$47.14
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.23
Bull Case
$84.77
(+71%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 44.1
Base Case
$77.06
(+55%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 40.1
Bear Case
$33.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 27.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.27
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sudhanshu Chhabra
SELL
2021 shares
2026-02-17
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-17
Jeffrey J Lavalle
SELL
447 shares
2026-02-17
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