ZWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZWS - Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
$49.16
0.15 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
-4.15%
30d:
+3.6%
90d:
+9.0%
SELL
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⚠️ CAUTION: ZWS is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
⚠️ CAUTION: ZWS is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.88
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZWS is currently trading at $49.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.06 to $49.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $49.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+14.9%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $49.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+14.9%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.06 -
$49.52
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.06 -
$49.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.79
Resistance Level
$49.19
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.51
Wall Street Target
$56.50
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 26.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.37
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$47.60
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$46.84
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$49.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 9.6%)
$64.73
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$55.26
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.6%)
$46.97
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.23
Bull Case
$84.53
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.7%, PE expands to 43.9
Base Case
$76.84
(+56%)
Market implied 56.7%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$33.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.5 to 26.7
Stabilization Target:
$51.45
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sudhanshu Chhabra
SELL
2021 shares
2026-02-17
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-17
Jeffrey J Lavalle
SELL
447 shares
2026-02-17
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