VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$2.70
-0.11 (-3.91%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNCE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VNCE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.79
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $2.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.68 to $4.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.43, while resistance sits at $3.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+86.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.43, while resistance sits at $3.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+86.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$2.68 -
$4.08
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VNCE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 86.8% below Wall St target ($5.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.68 -
$4.08
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.43
Resistance Level
$3.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.78
Wall Street Target
$5.25
(+86.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$2.60
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$2.50
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$2.79
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.91
(+502%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 33.3%)
$6.66
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 33.3%)
$5.66
(+102%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$3.14
(+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNCE price and gamma walls.
