VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$2.37
-0.09 (-3.66%)
▼
5d:
+16.18%
30d:
-17.42%
90d:
-41.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.33
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $2.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.18 to $2.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.95, while resistance sits at $2.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+121.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.95, while resistance sits at $2.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+121.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$2.18 -
$2.85
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 121.5% below Wall St target ($5.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.18 -
$2.85
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.95
Resistance Level
$2.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.41
Wall Street Target
$5.25
(+121.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.26
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$2.15
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$2.04
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$2.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.60
(+558%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 33.3%)
$5.62
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$4.78
(+102%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$2.75
(+16.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eugenia Ulasewicz
SELL
11322 shares
2025-12-24
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