VOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VOD - Vodafone Group PLC

Radiotelephone Communications
$14.76
0.27 (1.83%) ▲
5d: +1.9%
30d: -3.94%
90d: +12.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.46
15.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $14.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.36 to $15.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.83. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $14.36 - $15.32
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 18.4% above Wall St target ($11.83)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 7.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.36 - $15.32
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.21
Resistance Level $14.84
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.87
Wall Street Target $11.83 (-18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin -11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 18.9 vs 18.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.50 (+0%)
2-Year Target $14.52 (+0%)
3-Year Target $14.53 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) PE COMPRESSION $14.48 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 45.2%) $52.64 (+263%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 45.2%) $44.34 (+206%)
Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 45.2%) $37.69 (+160%)
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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