VPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VPG - Vishay Precision Group, Inc.

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES
$44.77
0.80 (1.82%) ā–²
5d: +5.29%
30d: -4.7%
90d: +16.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
āœ… BUY SIGNAL: VPG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.26
5.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VPG is currently trading at $44.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.53 to $46.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.6) compared to its historical average (34.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VPG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.66, while resistance sits at $47.51.

Market Sentiment: VPG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $41.53 - $46.51
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 18th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $41.53 - $46.51
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.10 (9.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.66
Resistance Level $47.51
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.64
Wall Street Target $52.00 (+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.5%
Profit Margin 1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 28.6 vs 34.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.95 (-6%)
2-Year Target $39.31 (-12%)
3-Year Target $36.83 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→35) $44.88 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.6, Growth: 97.9%) $151.10 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 97.9%) $108.53 (+142%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 97.9%) $92.25 (+106%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (61x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 60.61 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.70
Bull Case $50.90 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 63.6
Base Case $42.15 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 60.6
Bear Case $32.24 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 54.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
šŸ’” Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 34.9
Stabilization Target: $54.56 (+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.9%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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