VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$186.40
3.65 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
-6.73%
30d:
-10.2%
90d:
-15.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
VRSK is down 7.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $190 2026-06-18 with 10,123 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$320.87
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$199.23
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $186.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.18 to $209.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.53 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.53 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$187.18 -
$209.89
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($229.53)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$187.18 -
$209.89
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.01
Resistance Level
$207.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.27
Wall Street Target
$229.53
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.96
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$158.06
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$147.00
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$182.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$275.93
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$261.99
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$222.69
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.48
Bull Case
$294.30
(+47%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$267.55
(+34%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$137.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$226.85
(+24.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Christopher John Perry
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-20
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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