VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$217.46
0.87 (0.40%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$276.84
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $217.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.28 to $223.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $213.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.25 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $213.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.25 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$218.28 -
$223.38
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($249.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$218.28 -
$223.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$213.85
Resistance Level
$223.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.11
Wall Street Target
$249.25
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 29.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.21
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$211.85
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$209.52
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$216.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 11.1%)
$297.04
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$235.67
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$200.32
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.51
Bull Case
$285.19
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$259.27
(+19%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$148.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.1 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$224.24
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
300 shares
2025-10-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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